15. Input-Output-Workshop Osnabrück
2024-03-01
Model uncertainty matters…
UNFCCC National Inventory Reports (only in .pdf format 😭)
But now, as .csv on Zenodo: https://zenodo.org/records/10037714 😁
where \(\sum Y_i = Y_0\).
where \(\sum \alpha_i = 1\).
Step 1: Sample aggregate data from truncated normal distribution: \(y_0 \sim tN(\mu,\sigma,a = 0)\)
Step 2: Sample sector shares from Dirichlet distribution: \(x_1, x_2, ..., x_K \sim Dir(\boldsymbol\alpha,\gamma = \hat\gamma)\)
Step 3: Multiply both \(y_i = x_i y_0\ \forall\ i\in{1,..,K}\)
\(\require{colorx} x_1, x_2, ..., x_K \sim Dir(\boldsymbol\alpha,\color{red} \gamma\color{black})\)